Good early Friday morning, everyone. Mother Nature can’t seem to decide whether or not to keep temperatures chilly or mild as we continue through the middle of November. After we saw a cold start to our Wednesday morning, we stayed chilly with highs in the middle to upper 50s. Before we saw an upper-level wave and another cold front work through the region yesterday, we went from the lower 30s into the middle to upper 60s for the afternoon.
For our Thursday, we had one upper-level wave work through to bring in some clouds for the afternoon. While there was enough moisture to allow some showers to appear on radar, we were still seeing a good deal of dry air at the surface and the lower levels of the atmosphere. All that dry air meant the vast majority of the rain didn’t make its way down to the ground. If anything did, maybe a few spots were lucky to see either a few drops or a very quick shower. The surface setup shows us behind this latest cold front with high pressure passing by. This is what’s going to kick off our Friday morning on a cold note.
Upstairs at the jet stream level, the upper-level wave that gave us the early afternoon cloud cover and a few drops of rain is working into the Upper Midwest and the northern Great Lakes. Now, our focus will shift to the upper low working into California and another low coming out of the Gulf of Alaska. Before the low in the Gulf of Alaska sends another cold front our way by late Saturday and early Sunday, the low near California will start sending moisture our way as the weekend gets started.
Before that moisture can start bringing in cloud cover, we’ll have the northeast breeze send us back into the lower 30s to start our morning out.
While some cloud cover will try to start working in during the morning, we’re expecting the cloud cover to really pick up during the course of the afternoon. Despite that, the departing high pressure will bring our light breeze back out of the southeast. While it will be a chilly day, we will see temperatures warm back up into the lower to middle 50s across the area.
While we can start the evening off on a dry note, we’ll see the upper low out in California send more moisture, lift and energy our way. That will result in developing showers and a few t-storms after 9 or 10 PM.
As we go through the rest of the night and into Saturday morning, the clouds and the chances for rain and t-storms will continue. With these factors in play and a south wind that will pick up between 10 and 20 mph, we’ll only see overnight lows drop back into the upper 40s.
While we’ll continue to hold on to our rain chances and mostly cloudy skies for Saturday, the upper low coming out of the Gulf of Alaska will be ready to send another cold front our way. As long as we’re still ahead of it, the south wind at 10-20 mph will continue for Saturday and send highs back into the middle 60s.
The next cold front will sweep through as we work into Sunday morning. While it will send us back into the lower to middle 40s for Sunday morning, the front will clear out our cloud cover and our rain chances. Before the front can do that, though, we could have rain amounts between tonight and Saturday evening range between a quarter of an inch and three-quarters of an inch.
While we do turn mostly sunny for Sunday, we’ll find ourselves on the cooler side of the jet stream as we wrap up the weekend. This setup should mean highs in the middle 50s across the area for Sunday afternoon.
As we head into next week, though, we’ll see an upper-level ridge build back in and push the jet stream back to our north.
This setup will take us from a cool Monday morning with lows near 40° to highs back in the lower 60s. We’ll stay mild for most of next week with highs in the middle 60s for Tuesday and Wednesday before we try to push back near 70° on Thursday. If you’re curious as to how we look for the rest of the month and early December, Doug has your long range forecast down below. Have a good night and a great Friday!
Next Friday-Saturday: We’ll stay mild for Friday and Saturday. We’ll have a storm system work in on Saturday and bring rain chances through.
November 22nd-28th: It is Thanksgiving week. The first half of the week looks mild and dry. However, rain chances for the holiday and the holiday weekend with cooler temperatures working in.
November 29th-December 5th: Mainly a cool week with rain chances on Monday and Tuesday. Then again by Friday and Saturday that could mix with some snow.
December 6th-12th: A mild start but a cold finish with rain chances on Tuesday. Turning much colder with rain and snow chances from Thursday through Saturday.