Latest updated blog – Staying mild once again for Sunday – Nick

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Good Saturday evening, everyone. The weekend has been pretty good to us so far. We started the weekend out with mostly sunny skies on our Friday and continued to stay the course for our Saturday. Temperatures managed to fare the same as our Friday across the area. After we started on a chilly note this morning with lows in the lower 50s, we managed to make our way back into the middle 70s for the afternoon.

36hrtrend

Let’s sort out where we go from here by starting with a look at the surface setup. We note an area of high pressure on the Virginia Coast and our next frontal system out in the Rocky Mountains. In between it all, we’ll continue to have a south wind stay with us for our Sunday.

Surfacemap

We’ll have this frontal system head our way over the next few days once we get the pair of upper-level lows to kick out of the western United States. Until it does, we still find ourselves on the warm side of the jet as an upper-level ridge continues to slide to the east.

Jetsetup

This setup for our Sunday keeps things quiet to start the day out. Even though we’ll see skies turn partly cloudy through the overnight and into Sunday morning, the clouds and the south wind at 5-10 mph will keep temperatures just chilly through the night as lows drop back into the upper 50s.

Sundayam

Even though we’ll see partly sunny skies turn mostly cloudy at times throughout the day, we’ll have our south wind pick up at 10-20 mph. Despite the clouds and the returning moisture possibly sparking a stray shower during the day, we’ll stay mild yet again with highs around 75°.

Sundayaftn

We’ll continue with partly cloudy skies through Sunday evening and into Monday morning as a new work/school week begins. We’ll keep an eye out for a few possible showers to start Monday morning out, but we’ll continue to stay mild with lows in the lower 60s.

Mondayam

With a good south wind still in place for our Monday, mostly cloudy skies and a few showers won’t stop us from heading back into the middle 70s for the afternoon.

Mondayaftn

While we’ll deal with a few possible showers for Sunday and Monday, the better rain chances won’t kick into gear until the cold front out west rolls in late Monday night and into Tuesday morning. The cold front will give us a good shot for scattered rain and some t-storms that’ll work in from west to east during the overnight. In addition to the rain chances, we’ll see more fall-like air behind the front start to work back in. Tuesday will start with early morning highs in the upper 60s before we see temperatures drop into the 50s during the day.

Tuesdaystorms

Thankfully, we won’t be dealing with rain and t-storms all day on Tuesday. After the rain chances clear out by lunchtime, we’ll stay dry and mostly cloudy for the rest of the day. We’ll head into Wednesday with mostly sunny skies. As far as temperatures go, we’ll start cold with lows in the upper 30s before we bounce back to highs around 60°.

Wedsetup

Sticking with Doug’s pattern, we’ll have another system come by as we head toward the end of the week. While this could sneak in a few showers on Thursday, early indications show this holding off on scattered rainfall for Friday and into Saturday morning.

Weekendrain

If you’re curious as to how we look for the rest of November and early December, Doug has you covered with his long range forecast down below. Have a good night and a great Sunday!

Nick

November 15th-21st:  Rain chances on Sunday and turning cooler for Monday.  Another system on Tuesday and Wednesday with some rain chances.  Cool and dry the rest of the week.

November 22nd-28th:  It is Thanksgiving week.  The first half of the week looks mild and dry.  However, rain chances for the holiday and the holiday weekend with cooler temperatures working in.

November 29th-December 5th:  Mainly a cool week with rain chances on Monday and Tuesday.  Then again by Friday and Saturday that could mix with some snow.

December 6th-12th:  A mild start but a cold finish with rain chances on Tuesday.   Turning much colder with rain and snow chances from Thursday through Saturday.



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