Good early Tuesday morning, everyone. Sure enough, we turned mild again today after we ended the weekend with a chilly Sunday. What was rather remarkable about Monday was the dry air still in place behind a departing area of high pressure. That dry air sent lows into the lower to middle 30s Monday morning for a cold start. Once we got past sunrise, we saw temperatures take off into the middle to upper 60s for afternoon highs.
Checking on the surface setup, there isn’t much to point out except for our departed area of high pressure. Even though it continues to work across the Deep South, it’s still keeping our wind out of the south and southwest ready to bring in more mild air for Tuesday.
Don’t forget about what’s going on upstairs at the jet stream level. With an upper low clearing out of New England, the upper ridge centered over southern Texas continues to strengthen and push the jet stream back to our northeast. This setup will also help us stay quiet and mild for Tuesday and for a good portion of this week.
Even with clear skies in place for the overnight and into this morning, the south and southwest breeze will be enough to keep us out of the 30s for lows. It will still be a cool start to your Tuesday with lows dropping back into the lower to middle 40s.
Mostly sunny skies and a southwest breeze at 5-10 mph (occasional gusts near 20 mph) will be able to warm us up without any problem once again through Election Day. We’ll push through the 50s and into the upper 60s by lunchtime before afternoon highs top out in the lower 70s across much of the region. Some middle 70s are possible for areas west of US 59 before the day is all said and done.
Come Wednesday, we’ll have a quick upper-level low sneak out of the southwest and pass by to our north. While this wave still has enough moisture to bring in mostly cloudy skies for Wednesday, it won’t have enough for rain chances. With that said, we’re expecting Wednesday to stay dry and mild with highs around 70°.
That wave clears out Wednesday night and leaves us with partly to mostly sunny skies for Thursday and Friday. While the upper ridge starts sliding into the Great Lakes, we’ll still be under its influence as it keeps highs in the lower 70s as we start the weekend out.
You can tell that most of this week won’t be a very active weather week. This was to be expected in this part of Doug’s pattern and it’ll stay that way with partly sunny skies and mild temperatures for Saturday. Sticking with his pattern, though, you’ll see what’s lining up for the end of the weekend and early next week below.
By Sunday and Monday of next week, a pair of upper lows will start to send a cold front into the Central Plains and close to our area. With its arrival, we’ll go back into another active stretch of Doug’s pattern with rain and t-storm chances for Sunday and Monday. Once this front sweeps through by the middle of next week, we should see temperatures cool down quite a bit by then. If you’re curious as to how we look for the rest of November and how we’ll start December, Doug has your long range forecast down below. Have a good night and a great Tuesday!
Next Tuesday-Saturday: Rain chances for Tuesday. With this system, we will cool down for the rest of the week. Rain chances back in Wednesday through Saturday. Turning colder by the weekend.
November 15th-21st: Mainly a cold to chilly week and mainly dry. Slight rain chances on Thursday.
November 22nd-28th: Back to mild for Thanksgiving week. However, rain chances Wednesday through Saturday
November 29th-December 5th: Up and down temperatures all week with two storms systems. Rain chances on Monday and Tuesday. Then again, rain chances back in for the weekend.