Good early Sunday morning, everyone. Another month is in the books as we wrapped up October with a dry and mild Halloween across the area. Looking at the final week of October, we usually see quiet weather before we turn cloudy and cooler with maybe some rain on Halloween. This time around, we started with a system that brought rain and wintry weather through before we turned mild and dry. You can see how highs fared for the last 10 days of October. It’s a true case of a little something for everyone. 85° on the 22nd before we went into the 40s last Saturday. The storm system sent us to the 30s and lower to middle 40s to start the week before we saw our highs bounce back to average.
While it was nice to get back to some mild fall air, we’ll have to take a little detour as we wrap up this weekend and kick off the month of November. We had a southerly wind in place through the day yesterday. However, another cold front is working through. With this front lacking moisture, it’s main job is to cool us down a little for Sunday with high pressure switching our wind out of the north.
Not only will the cold front keep us chilly for Sunday, the upper-level low pushing the front through will also come in with the assist. The low nudges the jet to our south to help Mother Nature line up a chilly Sunday for us. This influence will stay with us through Monday before the upper ridge from the west starts to sneak in.
With mostly clear skies and a northwest breeze kicking in at 5-10 mph, it will be quite cool (even cold for some outlying areas) for our Sunday morning. While some areas outside of Joplin could flirt with the upper 30s, most of us should be around 40° by sunrise.
Even though we’ll have mostly sunny skies back in action, the high behind the front and the upper-level low will keep temperatures at least 10 degrees cooler than how we fared on Saturday. It will be a chilly day with lower 50s across southwestern Missouri and lower to middle 50s across southeast Kansas and northeast Oklahoma.
Once we get past a cold night with lows in the middle 30s, the center of the upper ridge out west starts sliding into the Southern Plains. Despite that taking a turn to the south, it’ll push the jet back to the north. That will send us back to 70° for a mostly sunny Election Day. By Wednesday, a quick upper-level wave wants to swing by with partly sunny skies for Wednesday and Thursday. With no moisture to work with, we’ll stay dry through the rest of the week as we continue to stay mild.
The weekend starts dry with partly sunny skies with highs in the lower 70s for both Friday and Saturday. The upper-level setup for Sunday, though, shows our next system wanting to organize out to our west. Sticking with Doug’s pattern, this could start to send some more rain chances our way by late Sunday and for early next week.
If you’re curious about how we look for November and how we’ll start December out, Doug has you covered with his long range forecast down below. Have a good night and a great Sunday!
November 8th-14th: Rain chances on Sunday and Monday. With this system we will cool down for the rest of the week. Rain chances back in Wednesday through Saturday. Turning colder by the weekend.
November 15th-21st: Mainly a cold to chilly week and mainly dry. Slight rain chances on Thursday.
November 22nd-28th: Back to mild for Thanksgiving week. However, rain chances Wednesday through Saturday
November 29th-December 5th: Up and down temperatures all week with two storms systems. Rain chances on Monday and Tuesday. Then again, rain chances back in for the weekend.