Good early Sunday morning, everyone. This weekend is definitely turning out to be a little bit interesting. We had quite the cold start on Friday with lows between 30° and the middle 30s before we were able to warm back up into the middle 60s. With the a good south wind between 20 and 30 mph (gusts between 35 and 45 mph) for our Saturday, we had no problem warming back up once again across the area. After a cool start in the middle 40s, we saw highs bounce back into the lower to middle 70s.
While we had the south wind keep us mild for Saturday, Mother Nature will be ready to bring a northeast wind back in here to wrap up the weekend. We’ll see that kick in once our next cold front works in from the northwest as we head through the day on Sunday.
First impressions may suggest that the front will be a one and done deal once we get past our Sunday. However, it will continue to develop back to our west and stick around for much of this week. Couple that with one of many upper-level waves passing by just to our north, we’ll have several days of rain chances lining up for the week ahead of us.
Sunday will be an odd day due to how temperatures will play out throughout the course of the day. Before the front works in, we’ll be at our warmest during the morning hours. Even then, it’ll be chilly with temperatures fluctuating between the middle 50s and 60°. The overnight starts dry before the front picks up enough moisture and brings rain chances back in after 3 AM and certainly by sunrise.
While we’ll plan on scattered showers sticking with us through the course of the day, plan on temperatures turning cool by the afternoon. We may start Sunday afternoon out in the lower 50s by lunch time, but we’ll drop back into the upper 40s during the heart of the afternoon. The northeast breeze will certainly contribute to the cool down with sustained wind speeds between 10 and 20 mph (gusts near 25 mph).
With the cold front settling just to our south in northern Arkansas for our Sunday night and Monday morning, we’ll continue with chances for showers through the night and into Monday morning under cloudy skies. With the cloudy skies in place, we won’t see much of a drop in temperatures at all. Still, it will be cool with temperatures in the middle 40s to start Monday morning out.
I’m seeing Monday’s rain chances mainly confined to the morning hours. Even though we should get a little break in the rain chances starting Monday afternoon, we’ll stay cloudy with temperatures only wanting to climb into the middle 50s for the afternoon.
It really is nice to see rain chances return because we NEED whatever rain we can get. While the rain chances for Sunday and Monday won’t be a big drought buster, we’ll take these projected rain totals between a tenth and half an inch by Monday afternoon.
For those clamoring for rain, more rain chances are lining up for most of this week. With the front coming back as a warm front from the south and another upper-level wave passing close to our north, we’ll have chances for scattered rain and t-storms stick with us for Tuesday.
Before that wave departs on Wednesday, it’ll work with the front to keep scattered t-storm chances in the forecast in the morning before we dry out and warm up for the afternoon. With this front doing the Hokey Pokey early this week, we’ll go from the 50s on Monday to the lower 70s on Tuesday and upper 70s for Wednesday.
For Thursday, we have a break in the upper-level waves as the warm front parks itself to our north. With partly sunny skies and the south wind in control, we’re looking at a warm Thursday with highs eager to top out in the lower 80s. Don’t get used to that warm up, though. The front will return as a cold front with another good upper-level wave ready to pass by as well. Not only will the front bring scattered t-storm chances back in for Friday, we’ll have temperatures start in the lower 70s early in the morning and drop through the day.
For Saturday, we’ll keep skies partly sunny with lows in the lower 40s and highs staying chilly in the middle 50s. It looks as though more rain chances will try to return as we kick off the final week of October. To see if any rain chances could affect Halloween and how we look going into November, Doug has you covered with his long range forecast down below. Have a great Sunday!
October 25th-31st: Rain chances back in on Sunday and Monday with cool temperatures. Mild temperatures for the rest of the work week and mainly dry until a storm system moves in on Friday and Saturday. This will give us rain chances with cooler temperatures. Hopefully any rain will be out by Halloween evening.
November 1st-7th: A cool start to the week with mild temperatures returning by the middle of the week. Rain chances on Wednesday and Thursday, this will bring chilly temps again for the rest of the week.
November 8th-14th: Mild temperatures return early in the week with rain no Tuesday and Wednesday. This will be cold and dry conditions the rest of the week.
November 15th-21st: Mainly a cool wee with rain chances on Tuesday and Thursday. Warming up a bit by the weekend.