Good Saturday evening, everyone. Some of us saw quite a bit of fog this morning before we enjoyed a partly to mostly sunny sky for the rest of the day. Even with the fog and chilly start this morning, we actually trended a bit warmer for today with highs back in the middle 80s in Joplin and across the region.
Breaking down the weather setup, we note that Delta (what’s left of it) is continuing to work to the northeast across the Deep South and the Southeast. We stayed quiet throughout the day as a front put on the brakes just to our north. Our focus, though, will be on the cold front stretching from Canada through Montana and into northern California.
The upper-level setup shows a low working across southwestern Canada as we continue into Sunday. That low will be responsible for sending the cold front to our northwest our way as we kick off a new work/school week. Until that front works in, we’ll wrap up the weekend with another day under the influence of the upper-level ridge centered across southern Texas.
With a light easterly breeze turning out of the southeast by sunrise and most spots dropping into the upper 50s to near 60°, the temperatures near the dew point could lead to some areas of fog once again as we begin our Sunday morning.
Just like today, our mild start will lead to another warm Sunday afternoon. If any fog is around in the morning, it’ll burn off so we can enjoy mostly sunny skies throughout the day. With our wind turning out of the south and pushing between 10 & 20 mph during the afternoon, we’ll have temperatures respond by pushing 80° at lunch time and into the middle 80s once again for afternoon highs.
While we start Sunday evening on a dry and warm note, we’ll be watching out for the cold front working in from the northwest. Unfortunately, this front doesn’t have a lot of moisture to work with as it works through the area through early Monday morning. That being said, there’s a slim chance for a few showers under partly cloudy skies as our Monday morning gets started. Otherwise, we’ll have areas around Joplin start Monday morning out near 60° with areas northwest of the city in the middle to upper 50s.
After the front clears out and takes the very slim rain chances and partly cloudy skies out of the picture, we’ll stay quiet under mostly sunny skies with a quick area of high pressure sneaking in behind the front. This front will bring in some cooler air as temperatures will only climb into the lower to middle 70s for highs on our Monday.
While it will be nice for this front to bring back more appropriate temperatures for the middle of October, Mother Nature wants to put us on a little roller coaster ride with our temperatures. For Tuesday and Wednesday, the jet sneaking back to the north will send temperatures back on a little warming trend. With mostly sunny skies for both days, we’ll have highs back in the upper 70s on Tuesday and the middle 80s for Wednesday.
Going into Thursday, we’ll have another cold front push on through the region from the northwest. While this second front won’t have a lot of moisture to bring rainfall back our way, this will bring temperatures back down for the end of the week.
Behind Thursday’s highs in the lower 70s and the passing front, the jet stream will push back to our south. That means our Friday will start cool with lows in the lower to middle 40s before we only see highs climb into the middle 60s.
Next weekend is showing a quiet Saturday with partly sunny skies and highs in the upper 60s before we stick with Doug’s pattern and see another system by that Sunday and following Monday. Fingers crossed that we can get some needed rainfall with that system. You can get the rest of his long range forecast down below that will take you through the rest of the month. Have a good night and a great Sunday!
October 18th-24th: The week starts mild as we watch for another system with possible rain chances for late Sunday and Monday. With another system by the middle of the week and rain chances possible by the weekend, we’ll go from mild temperatures on Wednesday to a cool end to the week.
October 25th-31st: With the exception of rain chances on Thursday, the week is looking dry overall. We’ll start with cool temperatures before we turn mild for the middle of the week. By Friday and Halloween, we’ll stay dry as temperatures turn cool once again.