Good Friday evening, everyone. I’m back in the office after enjoying some rest & relaxation and seeing some immediate & extended family back home. The week in St. Louis was just like how it was in our area. We were enjoying fall weather to start the week before we warmed back up. To back that up, the number from Joplin Regional were very similar over the past 2 days. After another mild morning in Joplin and across the area, we were warm again with highs back into the lower to middle 80s.
With Mother Nature not showing any huge changes for our Saturday, we’ll just get ready to do it all over again. After we start mild with lows back around 60°, we’ll waste no time warming back up into the middle 80s for the afternoon.
Breaking down our weather setup, we were keeping an eye on Hurricane Delta as it made landfall earlier this evening. No rain from Delta made it into our area today, but we did see some of that tropical moisture resulted in some clouds as we started the day out. Other than Delta, we have a cold front to our north and it plans on staying to our north for this weekend. While that front doesn’t come into play, the cold front coming into the Pacific Northwest will change things up a bit by the time Monday rolls around.
The jet stream setup shows an upper-level low in the Gulf of Alaska and another low just off the California coast. The low in the Gulf of Alaska will be responsible for bringing the cold front in the Pacific Northwest our way. Until that happens, we have an upper-level ridge keeping us warm for the rest of the weekend.
If you’re curious about Delta, the pair of upper-level highs will continue to steer this to the northeast and keep any rain chances with it to our southeast. As Delta continues onward, it will rapidly weaken through the day on Saturday before it turns into a remnant low as it works into the Ohio River Valley late Sunday night.
With Delta not being an issue for us and the upper-level ridge still in control, we’ll keep quiet for Saturday. Our morning will start off on a mild note with most spots bottoming out in the lower 60s. While the Joplin area drops close to 60° before sunrise, some lower to middle 60s are possible in our western counties. With some moisture still trying to pull in overnight, that could lead to a few spots of low-lying stratus clouds or some patchy fog by sunrise. Otherwise, we’ll stay dry and calm to start the day out.
Even with our light breeze shifting out of the east and northeast by Saturday afternoon, dry air and mostly sunny skies will warm us up again throughout the day. We may start the afternoon out in the upper 70s, but we’ll be back in the middle 80s across the region for our high temperatures.
Our Sunday will stay mostly sunny as we trend a little bit warmer as we wrap up the weekend. After another mild start in the lower 60s, we’ll push into the middle to upper 80s for afternoon highs. By Monday, that cold front from the Pacific Northwest will work in. The portion of the front that will pass on through won’t have a lot of moisture to work with. Still, we’ll hold on to a slight chance for a few showers to start Monday morning out. The main purpose of the cold front for Monday will be to drop afternoon highs back down into the middle 70s as we kick off a new work/school week.
For Tuesday and Wednesday, the jet stream starts nudging back to the north with warming temperatures once again eager to work back in. We’ll keep Tuesday dry with partly sunny skies and highs in the upper 70s before we climb back into the middle 80s under mostly sunny skies for Wednesday. However, we’ll keep an eye on a stronger cold front that will work in on Thursday.
While the second front may not have much moisture to work with, we’ll have this front drop highs back into the lower to middle 70s on Thursday. It’ll really feel like fall on Friday with morning lows in the middle 40s and highs back in the middle 60s. Sticking with Doug’s pattern, we’ll watch for another front with some potential rain chances by next weekend. His long range forecast down below will take you through the rest of the month. Have a good night and a great Saturday!
60s and 70s to start and finish with 50s for highs. Bigger system with rain the second half of the week.
Most of this week will be dry with rain on Thursday. Halloween looks cool but dry. I will keep you updated.