Good early Monday morning, everyone. As advertised, our weak system that passed through on Saturday left us a little cooler to wrap up our weekend. After we saw highs push into the lower to middle 70s on Saturday, we saw highs on Sunday only climb into the middle to upper 60s after starting the morning on a cool note.
As we head back to work and school today, Mother Nature will kick off a warming trend today that will carry us through the rest of the week. After we start off on another cool note this morning, we’ll be ready to bounce back into the lower 70s for afternoon highs under sunny skies.
Breaking down our weather setup, the upper levels show our last wave well to our east working through the Appalachian Mountains and into New England. With that wave out of the picture, the upper ridge across the Southwest will start sliding to the east and push the jet stream back on top of us to start the new week out.
Down at the surface, we found ourselves on the backside of the cold front that came through on Saturday. While that and high pressure gave us a northeast breeze during our Sunday, both systems continue to slide off to the east. That will result in our wind coming back from the southeast as we work into the day ahead of us. That, with the returning jet stream, will start a warming trend that will take us through this week.
Even though we’ll start to see changes in our temperatures for today, we’ll keep the skies quiet and clear to start the day out. With our breeze turning more out of the southeast at 5-10 through the early morning hours, temperatures shouldn’t get as cool as they did to start Sunday morning out. Still, we’ll start cool with lows in the middle 40s.
With plenty of blue skies set for our Monday, we’ll take advantage of that and a south breeze at 5-15 mph (gusts near 20 mph) to start warming things up once again. While we keep temperatures just below normal for the afternoon, we’ll start the afternoon in the middle 60s by lunch time and top out in the lower to middle 70s for highs across the area.
With no big systems to bring any rain chances for this week, we’ll keep things dry. That doesn’t mean, however, that things won’t be happening upstairs. Under sunny skies for Tuesday, the upper-level ridge will continue to push the core jet stream back to our north. After we see a chilly start in the lower 50s for Tuesday morning, sunny skies will make sure that we climb back near 80° for Tuesday afternoon. By Wednesday, the upper ridge will send highs into the middle 80s as we stay mostly sunny across the area.
As we approach the weekend, our weather will still be under control of the upper-level ridge. Even if the main upper-level high powering the ridge wants to retreat back into Mexico, we’ll still be on the warm side of the jet. Under mostly sunny skies, we’ll hold onto highs into the middle 80s for Thursday and lower 80s for Friday. Even though we stay dry for this week, we will keep an eye on the Gulf of Mexico. By Friday, a tropical system (we expect it to be Hurricane Delta) wants to make landfall somewhere along the Gulf Coast. While the track wants to keep it well to our southeast by the start of the coming weekend, we’ll still keep an eye on it and see if it can influence our weather as we wrap up this week.
After we keep quiet and warm for the rest of the upcoming weekend, we’ll stick with Doug’s pattern and wait for our next system by next Monday and Tuesday to bring rain chances back into the area. If you’re curious as to how we look for the rest of the month, Doug did his month-long forecast last Thursday. Have a look at what we can expect for the rest of the month down below. Have a good night and a great Monday!
Week 2 between the 11th & the 17th:
Mild means 60s and 70s with rain on Monday and Tuesday and then again on Saturday.
60s and 70s to start and finish with 50s for highs. Bigger system with rain the second half of the week.
Most of this week will be dry with rain on Thursday. Halloween looks cool but dry. I will keep you updated.