A bit of activity to wrap up September
Our look at the Tropics on this final day of September has a hurricane in the Pacific while we watch a few other areas for potential development. In the Eastern Pacific, we have Hurricane Marie as a new Category 1 Hurricane with sustained wind speeds of 75 mph located 685 miles south-southwest of the Baja Peninsula. As it continues to move west at 16 mph, it will continue to rapidly strengthen into a Major Hurricane by Thursday. It is forecast to peak as a Major Category 4 Hurricane on Friday before a slow weakening trend is expected to begin by the weekend. Even though the forecast track keeps Marie over open water, we’ll continue to keep an eye on this system over the next several days. Elsewhere in the Eastern Pacific, we’re still keeping an eye on a broad area of low pressure expected to form over the next few days just off the southwest Mexican coast. With slow development possible through early next week after it develops, we have this at a 30% chance of developing into a tropical depression. Over in the Atlantic Basin, we’re still keeping an eye on a tropical wave in the western Caribbean. Once it leads to a new broad area of low pressure by Thursday night or Friday, environmental conditions will be conducive for some development as it starts to move to the west-northwest. We have the odds of this future low turning into a tropical depression at 60%.