Good Thursday morning, everyone. As advertised, we saw the cloud cover scoot out of here before we got the AM drive started. As it did, though, we have to start the AM out on a cold note with most of us in the middle to upper 30s. As far as the weather setup goes for today, we’ll have a quick cold front coming in from the northwest as we get into the afternoon…
The cold front will bring in a reinforcing shot of dry air as we get into the afternoon ahead of us. Despite that cold front coming through and switching our wind out of the northwest, we’ll have a nice warm up through the day as highs will climb back into the lower 60s.
However, note the wind speeds for the afternoon. By late afternoon, we’ll be expecting sustained wind speeds between 10 and 20 mph with gusts near 25. Couple that with the milder and drier air working in, we do have an elevated fire risk for areas north of I-44. Fortunately for us, the drier air resulting in the critical fire risk will stay in north central and northeastern Kansas. Still, today doesn’t look ideal for any outdoor burning.
Temperature wise, our setup is looking more mild as we see an upper level ridge begin to emerge out of the southwestern United States.
Even though we’ll have mild air returning for today, the passing cold front will mess with our temperatures a little for Friday. We’ll have lows in the lower 30s for Friday morning and afternoon highs ready to bounce back into the upper 50s. Even with a little dip in the temperatures Friday, we’ll have the upper level ridge start working into the Central and Southern Plains.
That upper ridge will keep us mostly sunny for Friday and partly sunny for Saturday as highs return into the lower to middle 60s. Heading into Sunday, the upper level ridge will shift off into the southeastern United States. As it does, we’ll see our weather setup start to be influenced by an upper level low coming out of the Pacific. Sunday starts dry, but we could see a few showers late in the afternoon followed by rain chances picking up Sunday night.
Going into the first part of next week, we’ll have this setup bring t-storm chances into the area for Monday and Wednesday. Don’t forget that Doug has your long range forecast based off his Heady Pattern down below.
Have a great Thursday!
Long range forecast through the middle of April:
Next Week: Temperatures stay pretty good for the rest of next week. However, we’ll have a 3rd storm system work in with rain and possible t-storm chances returning on Friday.
March 15th-21st: A mild first half of the week with a cooler second half of the week. Showers and thunderstorms on Monday and Tuesday. The next system in on Friday and Saturday that could be strong to severe.
March 22nd-29th: A cool start to the week with rain on Sunday. Mild temperatures for the middle of the week with thunderstorms on Wednesday and Thursday. Cooling back down into the weekend.
March 30th-April 5th: A mild start to the week with thunderstorms (some strong to severe) on Wednesday and Thursday. Cooler the rest of the week.
April 6th-10th: A mild start to the week with our next system in on Tuesday and Wednesday. Showers and thunderstorms (some strong again) on Tuesday and Wednesday. Staying decently mild the rest of the week. Thunderstorms back in on Friday and Saturday.
April 11th-18th: Mainly a mild week with rain on Wednesday and Thursday. Showers stick around on Friday with rain back in on Saturday.